Research

Research Papers

Economic Outlook

Montag & Caldwell's current economic and investment outlook.

 

Research Paper Summary Date

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While there have been many forecasts predicting a recession, the U.S. economy has continued on a path of weak but positive real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.

06/30/2008

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Following already tepid growth of 0.6% in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the fourth quarter of 2007, little to slightly negative growth is expected for the first half of 2008.

03/31/2008

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After two quarters of well above trend growth (3.8% in the second quarter and 4.9% in the third), real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowed dramatically in the fourth quarter of 2007 as growth moderated across economic sectors. 

01/04/2008

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After a second-quarter rebound in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to 3.8% from an annualized rate of 0.6% in the first quarter, we expect sub-trend real GDPgrowth of around 2% for the remainder of 2007 and into the first half of 2008nificant global reach and are benefiting from healthy global economic conditions. 

10/16/2007

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After an anemic 0.7% annualized gain in the first quarter of this year, we estimate that the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased close to 3% in the second quarter.economic conditions.

10/16/2007

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It is likely that in the first quarter of 2007, the U.S. economy registered annualized real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 2.0 - 2.5% for the fourth consecutive quarter.

03/30/2007

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Due to the slump in the housing and automotive sectors, and after seventeen consecutive quarter point increases in interest rates by the Federal Reserve Board, the U.S. economy’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate has downshifted to below three percent in both the second quarter (2.6%) and third quarter (2.0%) of 2006.

12/29/2006

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